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Predictably Irrational

The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions

By Dan Ariely
15-minute read
Audio available
Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions by Dan Ariely

Predictably Irrational (2010) explains the fundamentally irrational ways we behave every day. Why do we decide to diet and then give it up as soon as we see a tasty dessert? Why would your mother be offended if you tried to pay her for a Sunday meal she lovingly prepared? Why is pain medication more effective when the patient thinks it is more expensive? The reasons and remedies for these and other irrationalities are explored and explained with studies and anecdotes.

  • Anyone who wants to understand why we indulge in irrational behaviors like procrastination, overeating and overpaying, and how we can avoid this
  • Anyone who wants to learn how to counter their innate irrationality and make better decisions
  • Anyone interested in social psychology and people’s decision-making behavior in general

Dan Ariely is a professor of psychology and behavioral economics at Duke University. He has written for numerous prestigious publications, such as The Wall Street Journal, the New York Times and Scientific American. His other books include The Upside of Irrationality and The Honest Truth about Dishonesty, which were both bestsellers.

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Predictably Irrational

The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions

By Dan Ariely
  • Read in 15 minutes
  • Audio & text available
  • Contains 9 key ideas
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Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions by Dan Ariely
Synopsis

Predictably Irrational (2010) explains the fundamentally irrational ways we behave every day. Why do we decide to diet and then give it up as soon as we see a tasty dessert? Why would your mother be offended if you tried to pay her for a Sunday meal she lovingly prepared? Why is pain medication more effective when the patient thinks it is more expensive? The reasons and remedies for these and other irrationalities are explored and explained with studies and anecdotes.

Key idea 1 of 9

When we’re offered something for free, our rational thinking goes out the window.

Few things get people to behave as irrationally as the word “free.” For example, people happily lug home useless free key chains from conferences, or buy two products they don’t need just because the third one is free.

Free is not just a price, but a powerful, almost irresistible emotional trigger.

Consider a study with chocolates: people were offered a choice between tasty Lindt truffles for 15 cents apiece or considerably less-tasty Hershey’s Kisses for one cent apiece. Most people (73 percent) chose the tasty Lindt truffles.

But what do you think happened when the prices were tweaked to 14 cents per truffle and zero cents (free) per Hershey’s Kiss? The difference in prices was identical (14 cents), but now one product invoked the power of “free.”

The result: 69 percent of people now chose Hershey’s Kisses, even though they still could have gotten the tastier truffles at a very attractive price. That’s the power of free.

Why this irrationality? Basically, whenever we pay for an item, we take a risk: if the item is not worth the price, we lose money. And humans really hate losing things. Hence, when an item has no potential downside (it’s free), we perceive it as far more valuable than it really is. This is known as the zero price effect.

The gravity of “free” is so powerful that companies often take advantage of it. For example, Amazon successfully entices people to order “just one more book” by offering free shipping for orders above a certain threshold.

Policy makers should also understand and leverage the power of free to enact change. For example, if the government wants people to have their cholesterol levels checked regularly, they shouldn’t just decrease the cost but rather make it entirely free!

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