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The Signal and the Noise

Why So Many Predictions Fail — but Some Don't

By Nate Silver
19-minute read
Audio available
The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail — but Some Don't by Nate Silver

The Signal and the Noise explains why so many expert predictions today fail spectacularly, and what statistical and probability tools are more up to the task of predicting real-world phenomena.

  • Anyone whose job involves making predictions or forecasts
  • Anyone who wants to know why the economy is so difficult to predict

Nate Silver is a statistician and writer who specializes in analyzing baseball and elections. He is perhaps most famous for correctly predicting the result of the 2008 US presidential election for 49 out of 50 states.

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