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by Robin Sharma
Making a New Science
Chaos by James Gleick explores the history and science of chaos theory, from its origins in mathematics to its broader implications in fields like biology and physics. It shows how chaos is not purely random, but rather a complex and fascinating natural phenomenon.
How much do you trust the weather forecast?
In the 1950s, scientists were highly optimistic about the possibilities of predicting – even manipulating – the weather. This hope lay in new computer technology.
Of course, they knew that it was hard to get perfect measurements on something as complicated as the weather. But they thought that with good enough data and a lot of computer power, it would be possible to calculate the weather for months ahead – at least roughly.
They’d no idea how fragile, unstable, and chaotic physical systems like the Earth’s weather really are. It took a mathematically-minded meteorologist to demonstrate this.
Here’s the key message: Meteorologist Edward Lorenz became the intellectual father of chaos theory after discovering the unpredictability of weather.
In 1960, Edward Lorenz began running a weather simulation on his brand new computer. He wanted to study how weather patterns change over time. And he stumbled on something deeply unsettling.
Lorenz’s weather simulation was pretty simple – it didn’t even have clouds. Conditions like temperature and airstream were represented by numbers. To study how they behaved over time, Lorenz would pick one of those variables and print out a graph that plotted its fluctuations.
One day in 1961, he wanted to rerun a simulation from the day before. But he decided to start in the middle of the simulation, typing in the numbers from the previous printout by hand.
At the beginning, the second simulation behaved just like the first. But then, the variables’ behavior started deviating. As simulated time went on, they got more and more out of sync. Finally, the motion of the second graph looked totally different from the first.
What caused this massive incongruity? Lorenz had typed in the numbers from the previous simulation only up to the third decimal point. For airstream, for instance, he’d typed in .506. But the computer’s calculations actually ran up to the sixth decimal point: .506127. Somehow, this tiny difference was enough to throw the weather prediction completely off the previous track.
Lorenz was shocked. Like other scientists at the time, he believed that small fluctuations didn’t have big effects on large-scale systems like the weather. Instead, his mistake revealed how unstable, unpredictable, and chaotic these systems really could be.
Lorenz dubbed it the butterfly effect. This means systems like our weather are so sensitive to small disturbances that a butterfly flapping its wings in Beijing today could be responsible for a raging storm next month in New York. In science-speak, this is also known as “sensitive dependence on initial conditions” – and it became the cornerstone of the new field of chaos theory.
Chaos (1987) delves into the most recent theoretical revolution in physics: chaos theory. In the 1970s, scientists began discovering that the world doesn’t behave as neatly as classical physics suggests. From the weather to animal populations to our heartbeats – irregularities, disorder, and chaos pervade our universe. And yet, there seems to be a strange order to the chaos of life. Chaos explores the history of this new science, revealing its startling findings, and pondering its implications.
Chaos (1987) by James Gleick is a fascinating exploration of the science of chaos theory and its implications in various fields. Here's why this book is definitely worth reading:
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Try Blinkist to get the key ideas from 7,500+ bestselling nonfiction titles and podcasts. Listen or read in just 15 minutes.
Start your free trialBlink 3 of 8 - The 5 AM Club
by Robin Sharma
What is the main message of Chaos?
Chaos explores the science of unpredictability and complexity, revealing the hidden order within seemingly chaotic systems.
How long does it take to read Chaos?
The reading time for Chaos varies depending on the reader's speed. However, the Blinkist summary can be read in just 15 minutes.
Is Chaos a good book? Is it worth reading?
Chaos is a fascinating read for those interested in understanding the intricacies of chaos theory and its applications. It offers unique insights and expands our understanding of the world.
Who is the author of Chaos?
The author of Chaos is James Gleick.