Ten Visions for Our Future
AI 2041 (2021) is a provocative work of speculative fiction with analysis that explores the ways in which AI will shake up our world over the next twenty years. We’re just at the beginning of the technological revolution that AI will bring. By imagining what that future will look like, we can start preparing for the changes to come.
Kai-Fu Lee is CEO of Sinovation Ventures, and former president of Google China. He’s also the author of the New York Times bestseller AI Superpowers.
Chen Qiufan is an award-winning author, and is president of the World Chinese Science Fiction Association. His previous works include Waste Tide, Future Disease, and The Algorithms for Life.
In Mumbai, in 2041, Nayana’s family dramatically lowered their insurance premiums by signing up with a new insurance company called Ganesh Insurance. The catch? They had to agree to share all their personal data with the company.
Ganesh instructed the family to use a certain set of apps for everything from investing to finding the best supermarket deals, and over the next few weeks, their phones were constantly pinging with recommendations. The apps told them when to drink water, instructed her grandfather to drive more slowly, and nagged her dad so much about his smoking that he eventually quit. With every healthy decision they made, their insurance premiums fell. It seemed like a win-win for everyone.
But when Nayana fell in love with a man who lived in a less-wealthy neighborhood, the family’s premiums soared. Somehow, the AI had inferred that he was of a different social status, and interpreted that as a health risk to the family.
The key message here is: AI can help you optimize your life – but it can also weaponize your data.
Nayana’s story provides a chilling insight into how AI can reproduce the discrimination already present in society. One of the most significant AI developments in the last decade has been deep learning. Deep learning allows computers to make predictions, classify data, and recognize patterns. Deep learning is the technology Facebook uses to generate personalized recommendations and maximize the time you spend on its network. By analyzing every click you make and comparing your data to the millions of others in their system, the platform is able to accurately predict what will engage you.
Deep learning can have enormous benefits. AI can analyze millions of data points, and make connections that would elude the human mind. But AI lacks the nuance and complexity of human thinking. It can’t draw on personal experience, abstract concepts, or common sense.
And AI is vulnerable to bias and discrimination. In Nayana’s story, the app didn’t know that her love interest was from a different “caste” and that the match would be seen as socially undesirable. But by analyzing his family’s data and tracking where he lived, it still suggested that the match would be a “threat” to the health of Nayana’s family. Deep learning will only grow more prevalent and powerful in the years to come. The question of how to make it beneficial to society as a whole will be one of our most urgent preoccupations in the near future.
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Blink 3 von 12 - Eine kurze Geschichte der Menschheit
von Yuval Noah Harari
