Dan Gardner Books

Philip E. Tetlock, the Annenberg University Professor at the University of Pennsylvania, specializes in political science and psychology. The leader of the forecasting study Good Judgment Project, he has published over 200 articles in peer-reviewed journals.

Dan Gardner is a journalist, author and lecturer. Author of the influential books Risk: The Science and Politics of Fear and Future Babble, Gardner has also lectured internationally at government events and for corporations such as Google and Siemens.

  1. 1Risk

    Risk

    Dan Gardner

    The Science and Politics of Fear

    4.2 (41 ratings)

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    What's Risk about?

    We live in a society that pushes us to fear what’s out there. Risk (2008) delves into the psychological and sociological reasons why fear is so deeply rooted in modern times, and why the world isn’t really as bad as we’re made to think it is.

    Who should read Risk?

    • Students of psychology, sociology or politics
    • Anyone interested in the media
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  2. 2How Big Things Get Done

    How Big Things Get Done

    Bent Flyvbjerg and Dan Gardner

    The Surprising Factors Behind Every Successful Project, from Home Renovations to Space Exploration

    4.1 (345 ratings)

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    What's How Big Things Get Done about?

    How Big Things Get Done (2023) explores what it takes to make large-scale projects work. It tackles tough questions like why so many big projects fail, and what makes the ones that succeed stand out from the rest. With real-life success stories as well as cautionary tales, its lessons can be applied to projects of any size, shape, or form. 

    Who should read How Big Things Get Done?

    • Project managers looking to hone in their skills
    • Anyone about to embark on a new project or start a new business
    • Fans of Elon Musk wanting to learn how he works his magic
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  3. 3Superforecasting

    Superforecasting

    Philip E. Tetlock & Dan Gardner

    The Art and Science of Prediction

    3.9 (154 ratings)

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    What's Superforecasting about?

    Superforecasting (2015) delves into the art and science of predicting the future, highlighting how most individuals, even experts, often falter in their forecasting abilities. Through captivating stories of successes and failures, as well as interviews with high-profile decision-makers, it unveils the secrets behind effective forecasting: a combination of evidence-based thinking, probabilistic reasoning, accountability, and adaptability.

    Who should read Superforecasting?

    • Aspiring decision-makers seeking insight into forecasting techniques
    • Science enthusiasts interested in probability and prediction
    • Amateur forecasters and wannabe superforecasters looking to hone their skills
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